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In the US they don't seem to know until the allocations get distributed. My SA says it has a lot to do with dealership history on special models, and possibly M car throughput. Might be why my dealership continues to keep the M4CS in stock. My SA assumes they will get a M2CS based upon their history with M4 GTS, but it isn't a certainty. I believe the waiting list at my dealership is 15 deep for the CS. I would imagine that they might get two.
So no, I don't know, but that's the info I've received on how allocations work.
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