Where will m2 cpo prices be by 2019?

ah3nyc · 04-18-2018, 05:37 PM

I'm interested in a cpo m2 currently but, I am stuck with a 340 lease until 2019. With all the hype of the m2 competition coming soon. I know many owners will dump the older Bmw m2. Currently I see prices starting to slide and might be a good time to pick up a cpo.

This thread is to just guess where prices might be by next year. I think high 30s to very low 40s for a cpo m2; is possible.

///M² · 04-18-2018, 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ah3nyc

I'm interested in a cpo m2 currently but, I am stuck with a 340 lease until 2019. With all the hype of the m2 competition coming soon. I know many owners will dump the older Bmw m2. Currently I see prices starting to slide and might be a good time to pick up a cpo.

This thread is to just guess where prices might be by next year. I think high 30s to very low 40s for a cpo m2; is possible.

Well according to this poll http://f87.bimmerpost.com/forums/sho....php?t=1485035, not as many as you think.

DanG · 04-18-2018, 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ah3nyc

I'm interested in a cpo m2 currently but, I am stuck with a 340 lease until 2019. With all the hype of the m2 competition coming soon. I know many owners will dump the older Bmw m2. Currently I see prices starting to slide and might be a good time to pick up a cpo.

This thread is to just guess where prices might be by next year. I think high 30s to very low 40s for a cpo m2; is possible.

Probably a good range for a 2-3 year old M2 in 2019.

twin fed · 04-19-2018, 09:27 AM

I think that you are undervaluing the car. I would say that it will be mid 40's at the lowest, depending on mileage of course.

ah3nyc · 04-19-2018, 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by twin fed

I think that you are undervaluing the car. I would say that it will be mid 40's at the lowest, depending on mileage of course.

They are already possible to grab for 46-48k. A year from now it will drop another 6-10k.

twin fed · 04-19-2018, 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ah3nyc

They are already possible to grab for 46-48k. A year from now it will drop another 6-10k.

Well I hope not

I'll be keeping mine anyway

rjd598 · 04-19-2018, 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by twin fed

Well I hope not

I'll be keeping mine anyway

enjoy your car. if you really don't plan on selling it then it doesn't matter right?

but what others have said is right. you can snag one for ~$47k with super low miles right now, which is still high imo.

once lease returns come up and these cars hit the 20k mileage range they will go to the price point op estimated. the 2016 for sure. that car has nothing to offer compared to a 2017 (new nav), 2018 (lci), and then obviously the m2 comp.

regardless of what people say on the forum people WILL buy the m2 comp and it'll sell like hot cakes. ever see what happens when a comp PACKAGE is introduced to an M model? people just need to be realistic.

rjd598 · 04-19-2018, 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ///M²

Well according to this poll http://f87.bimmerpost.com/forums/sho....php?t=1485035, not as many as you think.

great analytical skills there. you're really basing that off of a 236 person sample base? hahahhahaha

i think bmw sold around 12k m2's last year alone...

David1 · 04-19-2018, 02:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ah3nyc

They are already possible to grab for 46-48k. A year from now it will drop another 6-10k.

They wont drop that much, and it is very expensive to CPO an Mcar right now compared to a non-Mcar.

///M² · 04-19-2018, 05:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rjd598

great analytical skills there. you're really basing that off of a 236 person sample base? hahahhahaha

i think bmw sold around 12k m2's last year alone...

Glad you enjoyed it, it's just something to go by, but take it as you will.

M2audioman · 04-19-2018, 11:32 PM

Keep in mind that the M2C will have a higher MSRP. Meaning, you shouldn't expect the base M2s to depreciate too much. The appeal of the M2 has always been the performance/price ratio. That ratio becomes less attractive at the higher price point of the M2C. I suspect demand for the base M2 will remain high in the used market.

cole3488 · 04-20-2018, 12:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ah3nyc

I'm interested in a cpo m2 currently but, I am stuck with a 340 lease until 2019. With all the hype of the m2 competition coming soon. I know many owners will dump the older Bmw m2. Currently I see prices starting to slide and might be a good time to pick up a cpo.

This thread is to just guess where prices might be by next year. I think high 30s to very low 40s for a cpo m2; is possible.

People won't just dump and there will be a premium on the competition. I really think there will be more m3/4 drivers switching cars. The nice thing about the first m2 is 55k the new spec with add-ons will be above 60k . Seems close but it's a big gap in demo for buying.

ORIGIN M. · 04-20-2018, 01:01 AM

46 to 48k is miles from smiles compared to 30-40k.

Maybe buy a M235/240i if you're on a budget.

ORIGIN M. · 04-20-2018, 01:06 AM

46 to 48k is miles from smiles compared to 30-40k.

Maybe buy a M235/240i if you're on a budget.

ORIGIN M. · 04-20-2018, 08:42 AM

46-48k is miles from smiles compared to 30-40k.

Maybe buy a M235/240i if you're on a budget.

akkando · 04-20-2018, 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rjd598

Quote:

Originally Posted by twin fed

Well I hope not

I'll be keeping mine anyway

enjoy your car. if you really don't plan on selling it then it doesn't matter right?

but what others have said is right. you can snag one for ~$47k with super low miles right now, which is still high imo.

once lease returns come up and these cars hit the 20k mileage range they will go to the price point op estimated. the 2016 for sure. that car has nothing to offer compared to a 2017 (new nav), 2018 (lci), and then obviously the m2 comp.

regardless of what people say on the forum people WILL buy the m2 comp and it'll sell like hot cakes. ever see what happens when a comp PACKAGE is introduced to an M model? people just need to be realistic.

it's not realistic to assume m2s are going to flood lots off lease. The lease deals were so terrible I doubt many were leased.

however I do agree prices will free fall for other reasons

Wharf Rat · 04-24-2018, 05:08 AM

I don't see a 'free fall' on prices, as not many people will be willing to take a big loss just to move into a newer model.

I agree that not many M2s are leases, as BMW made that deal pretty unattractive.

This forum is kind of funny with the segment of people who know what the M2C will cost & how it will render the current model obsolete. No offense meant, it's just funny.

I bought my MY18 knowing that another model was coming with an S55. There's always a new model coming. Just wait until the same folks postpone getting the M2C while they wait for the next iteration. Doesn't matter to me. My lowly N55 will still provide the same performance it does today, and I'll have the same enjoyment. After all, it's only a car... my DD. Far more important things in my life.

Msmall143 · 04-26-2018, 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rjd598

enjoy your car. if you really don't plan on selling it then it doesn't matter right?

but what others have said is right. you can snag one for ~$47k with super low miles right now, which is still high imo.

once lease returns come up and these cars hit the 20k mileage range they will go to the price point op estimated. the 2016 for sure. that car has nothing to offer compared to a 2017 (new nav), 2018 (lci), and then obviously the m2 comp.

regardless of what people say on the forum people WILL buy the m2 comp and it'll sell like hot cakes. ever see what happens when a comp PACKAGE is introduced to an M model? people just need to be realistic.

my thought is that the leases were so unattractive that many didnt go that route. so lease returns wont be high enough to impact price as much as normal. I think the milestone that will effect price is when people start trading in or upgrading as the warranty expires. lots of people out there dont want to own cars out of warranty

heavyD^2 · 04-27-2018, 10:41 AM

I don't think the M2C is going to make much of a difference as it's not like the M2 is a high volume car. There may become a time where buyers in the used market have the option of a used LCI and Comp but seeing the Comp will have a higher MSRP it's going to naturally carry a higher price used.

04-18-2018, 05:37 PM	#1
ah3nyc Private First Class 118 Rep 136 Posts Drives: 2016 BMW 340 M-sport xdrive Join Date: Sep 2013 Location: nyc iTrader: (0)	Where will m2 cpo prices be by 2019? I'm interested in a cpo m2 currently but, I am stuck with a 340 lease until 2019. With all the hype of the m2 competition coming soon. I know many owners will dump the older Bmw m2. Currently I see prices starting to slide and might be a good time to pick up a cpo. This thread is to just guess where prices might be by next year. I think high 30s to very low 40s for a cpo m2; is possible.
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04-19-2018, 09:27 AM	#4
twin fed Doc Brown 1176 Rep 2,174 Posts Drives: 2016 MG MT M2 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Isle of Long iTrader: (2)	I think that you are undervaluing the car. I would say that it will be mid 40's at the lowest, depending on mileage of course. __________________
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04-19-2018, 11:32 PM	#11
M2audioman Captain 197 Rep 837 Posts Drives: 2018 M2 Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Bay Area, CA iTrader: (0)	Keep in mind that the M2C will have a higher MSRP. Meaning, you shouldn't expect the base M2s to depreciate too much. The appeal of the M2 has always been the performance/price ratio. That ratio becomes less attractive at the higher price point of the M2C. I suspect demand for the base M2 will remain high in the used market.
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04-20-2018, 01:01 AM	#13
ORIGIN M. Banned 3160 Rep 9,134 Posts Drives: ///M Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Northern Hemisphere iTrader: (0)	46 to 48k is miles from smiles compared to 30-40k. Maybe buy a M235/240i if you're on a budget.
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04-20-2018, 01:06 AM	#14
ORIGIN M. Banned 3160 Rep 9,134 Posts Drives: ///M Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Northern Hemisphere iTrader: (0)	46 to 48k is miles from smiles compared to 30-40k. Maybe buy a M235/240i if you're on a budget.
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04-20-2018, 08:42 AM	#15
ORIGIN M. Banned 3160 Rep 9,134 Posts Drives: ///M Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Northern Hemisphere iTrader: (0)	Where will m2 cpo prices be by 2019? 46-48k is miles from smiles compared to 30-40k. Maybe buy a M235/240i if you're on a budget.
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04-24-2018, 05:08 AM	#17
Wharf Rat First Lieutenant 186 Rep 329 Posts Drives: ... Join Date: Aug 2017 Location: Southwest iTrader: (0)	I don't see a 'free fall' on prices, as not many people will be willing to take a big loss just to move into a newer model. I agree that not many M2s are leases, as BMW made that deal pretty unattractive. This forum is kind of funny with the segment of people who know what the M2C will cost & how it will render the current model obsolete. No offense meant, it's just funny. I bought my MY18 knowing that another model was coming with an S55. There's always a new model coming. Just wait until the same folks postpone getting the M2C while they wait for the next iteration. Doesn't matter to me. My lowly N55 will still provide the same performance it does today, and I'll have the same enjoyment. After all, it's only a car... my DD. Far more important things in my life.
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04-27-2018, 10:41 AM	#19
heavyD^2 Colonel 3689 Rep 2,956 Posts Drives: X3M Competition Join Date: Apr 2018 Location: Too close to Santa iTrader: (0)	I don't think the M2C is going to make much of a difference as it's not like the M2 is a high volume car. There may become a time where buyers in the used market have the option of a used LCI and Comp but seeing the Comp will have a higher MSRP it's going to naturally carry a higher price used.
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