[Nezil]

Originally Posted by Xtianh

My car started production today, with an estimated complete date of 9/18. Do you think there's a good chance I'll make the Don Carlos?

I've no idea Xtianh. If you look back on a few threads here, you should see how long it took to get from production complete to Bremerhaven, and then from there, onto a boat.

Taking the information from the sticky:

-Build finish (155) to Scheduled for Carrier (182): 1 day.
-Status 182 to 190 (on a train to bremerhaven):1-3 days.
-Status 190 to 193 (at port awaiting a ship): 1-2 days.
-Status 193 to 195 (on a ship): 3-5 days for east coast delivery, 5-12 days for west coast delivery

You can calculate a worst case situation of 18 days from completion to sailing, and a best case of 8 days.

If you complete on 9/18, then 8 days would be 9/26, 18 days would be 10/6.

For a completion on 9/13 (my car's estimate), puts me some time between 9/21 and 10/1.

The biggest variable in this is the time it takes to get from status 193 to 195, and that depends on when your car gets to the dock, how busy it is, and when the next boat leaves. Based on these dates, I think there's a high chance I'll be on the Don Carlos, and there is a lower chance that you will be.

As has been seen in some of the earlier week 3x threads, some people have finished production first, and ended up taking a boat later than others that finished production after them. In this case, I guess it's caused by a delay in moving from 182 to 193.